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Indonesia's new goal to establish universal healthcare coverage by 2019 rather than 2014 is more feasible given that the programme will be rolled out in phases. We continue to see universal healthcare coverage as a key theme in Asia, although poor governance in several countries across the region will delayitsimplementation. Despite this, pharmaceutical firms will continue to enjoy strong growth in the region due to the expanding, increasingly ageing and affluent population, which will boost volume demand for pharmaceuticals as well as medical services across the board.
Headline Expenditure Projections
Pharmaceuticals : IDR53,041bn (US$6.04bn) in 2011 to IDR58,657bn (US$6.25bn) in 2012; +10.6% growth in local currency terms and +3.5% in US dollar terms. Local currency forecast broadly unchanged from previous quarter.
Healthcare : IDR195,355bn (US$22.26bn) in 2011 to IDR223,454bn (US$23.82bn) in 2012; +14.4% growth in local currency terms and +7.0% in US dollar terms. Local currency forecast unchanged from previous quarter.
Medical devices : IDR5,721bn (US$652mn) in 2011 to IDR6,282bn (US$670mn) in 2012; +9.8% growth in local currency terms and +2.7% in US dollar terms. Local currency forecast broadly unchanged from previous quarter.
Competitive Landscape
The competitive landscape section provides comparative company analyses and rankings by US$ sales and % share of total sales - for the total pharmaceutical sector, as well as the OTC, generics, and distribution sub-sectors.